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☆ Tech stocks still attractive in long term, UBS Wealth Management CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTech stocks still attractive in long term, UBS Wealth Management CIO saysMark Haefele, CIO at UBS Global Wealth Management, discusses the outlook for the U.S. economy and markets.

Persons: Mark Haefele Organizations: Tech, UBS Wealth Management, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: U.S

☆ It’s prime time to lock in yields on this tax-free income play, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

UBS doesn't see the Federal Reserve embarking on rate cuts until September — and that means now is the time to snap up tax-free municipal bonds. Bond yields and prices move inversely, so a decline in rates will come with price appreciation for the underlying issues. "Against that backdrop, we believe that yields on quality municipal bonds look attractive at current levels," wrote UBS Wealth Management senior municipal bond strategist Kathleen McNamara in a report last week. The kicker of tax-free income Muni bonds are generally backed by the full faith and credit of the issuer, which makes them less of a default risk compared with corporates. Large diversified municipal bond funds can be cheap, but state-focused funds tend to be a little more costly.

Persons: Kathleen McNamara, McNamara, FKTFX Organizations: UBS, Federal, UBS Wealth Management, Bond, SEC, Vanguard California, Franklin, Franklin California Tax, Income Fund, Muni Bond ETF, Vanguard New Locations: There's, New York , California, New Jersey, California, Franklin California

☆ Singapore REITs will be a 'compelling' investment theme in 2024: UBS Wealth Management
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-22 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSingapore REITs will be a 'compelling' investment theme in 2024: UBS Wealth ManagementKelvin Tay from UBS Wealth Management says the U.S. treasury yields are expected to fall in 2024, which would make Singapore REITs an asset class worth investigating.

Persons: UBS Wealth Management Kelvin Tay Organizations: Singapore, UBS Wealth Management Locations: Singapore

☆ UBS projects inflation is coming to an end, but that's 'little comfort to households,' chief financial analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Jessica Dickler | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The prolonged period of high inflation may finally be coming to an end, according to an analysis of recent data by UBS global wealth management. In October, the consumer price index, a closely followed inflation gauge, increased 3.2% from 12 months earlier, down from 3.7% in September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics said Tuesday. The report marked a significant improvement on the pandemic-era peak of 9.1% in June 2022. “By next spring, inflation will have slowed to a comfortable level for both the Fed and investors,” said Solita Marcelli, chief investment officer of the Americas for UBS Wealth Management. “The strain on household budgets is real.”

Persons: ”, Solita Marcelli, Greg McBride Organizations: UBS, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Fed, Americas, UBS Wealth Management, Finance

☆ UBS Global CIO: This is the great time for people to get their portfolios more in balance
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS Global CIO: This is the great time for people to get their portfolios more in balanceMark Haefele, Global CIO of UBS Wealth Management, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss whether the 10-year yield will test the 4.8% yield level, if he sees a downside scenario coming for the benchmark 10-year treasury yield, and more.

Persons: Mark Haefele Organizations: UBS Global, Global, UBS Wealth Management

☆ Analysis: Contrarians bet U.S. energy shares will shake doldrums in 2023's second half
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-28 | by ( David Randall | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

That has hurt shares of energy companies: after soaring in 2022, the S&P 500 energy sector (.SPNY) has lost nearly 10% this year, making it the index’s worst performing sector. Most investors believe central bank interest rate hikes to fight inflation should keep a lid on global growth for the time being. Yet some are positioning for a rebound in energy shares, drawn by attractive valuations and signs the U.S. will continue to stave off an economic downturn. Stan Majcher, a portfolio manager at Hotchkis & Wiley, is among those counting on oil prices rebounding due to tight supply. “If you don’t get it, the path of least resistance is for oil prices to move much higher," he said.

Persons: Brent, David Lefkowitz, Baker Hughes, Stan Majcher, Refinitiv, Charles Lemonides, Sam Peters, David Randall, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: YORK, UBS Wealth Management, UBS, Federal Reserve, TD Securities, . West Texas, Brent, U.S, drillers, Hotchkis, Wiley, Kosmos Energy Ltd, Bank of America Survey, Hess Corp, Occidental Petroleum Corp, ClearBridge Investments, Thomson Locations: U.S, China, Saudi Arabia

☆ Investors should ride this market rally to new all-time highs early next year by making these 10 investments now, according to 6 market strategists
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-19 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

If the S&P 500 can avoid a pullback, it could make a push toward its all-time high. Investors who weren't ready for the remarkable stock market rally of the last three months may not have completely missed out yet, according to several strategists Insider recently spoke with. While some top investing minds think this market rally isn't trustworthy, others are confident that the path of least resistance for US stocks is higher. He believes the S&P 500 is more likely to hit new highs in early 2024 than retest its Fall low of about 3,500. The S&P 500 is trading at roughly 19.2x forward earnings, he said, adding that equal-weighted funds have a forward earning ratio of about 15.5x.

Persons: Brad Bernstein, we've, I've, Bernstein, Jason Draho, Bernstein's, Draho, Jack Caffrey, Caffrey, Michael Sheldon, chartmaster David Keller, Keller, who's, David Keller, StockCharts.com, Brian Belski, Sheldon, Belski, that's Organizations: Federal Reserve, UBS Wealth Management, UBS Global Wealth Management, JPMorgan Asset Management, Fed, RDM Financial, BMO Capital Markets, BMO Capital Locations: US

☆ Morgan Stanley's chief US economist now says home prices are likely to drop only 2% in 2023. Here's why she thinks the housing downturn is virtually over.
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-17 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Morgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner says housing activity has bottomed. After a huge drop off in activity, demand is starting to stabilize. Yardeni ResearchThe pickup in activity has likely been due to housing affordability stabilizing. Zentner's view that the housing market is stabilizing is a big contributing factor to her call for a soft-landing scenario, where the US economy avoids a recession. But nevertheless, housing activity has bottomed, and that's probably the most important pillar to a soft-landing."

Persons: Morgan, Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley's Ellen Zentner, Zentner, that's, Goldman Sachs, Jonathan Woloshin, Suisse's Ray Farris, Ian Shepherdson, undershoots, David Rosenberg Organizations: National Association of, National Association of Homebuilders, UBS Wealth Management, Rosenberg Locations: Zentner

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with David Lefkowitz and Warren Pies
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with David Lefkowitz and Warren PiesDavid Lefkowitz, UBS Wealth Management, and Warren Pies, 3Fourteen Research co-founder, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to discuss today's market rally, the state of the U.S. economy, and the bond market.

Persons: David Lefkowitz, Warren Pies David Lefkowitz, Warren Organizations: UBS Wealth Management, 3Fourteen Research Locations: U.S

☆ The big recession trade is getting priced out of the market, says 3Fourteen's Warren Pies
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe big recession trade is getting priced out of the market, says 3Fourteen's Warren PiesDavid Lefkowitz, UBS Wealth Management, and Warren Pies, 3Fourteen Research co-founder, join 'Closing Bell Overtime' to discuss today's market rally, the state of the U.S. economy, and the bond market.

Persons: Warren Pies David Lefkowitz, Warren Organizations: UBS Wealth Management, 3Fourteen Research Locations: U.S

☆ Premarket stocks: Wall Street's 'fear gauge' is rising as US debt talks drag on
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-16 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Markets will get volatile, maybe the stock market will go down, the Treasury markets will have their own problems,” he said. But this fear of market volatility isn’t going away. A similar fight around the debt ceiling in 2011 spurred a serious bout of market volatility. Wall Street’s key measure of volatility, the VIX, reached two year highs and soared more than 35% in just one day. Wall Street typically uses the VIX, known as the market’s “fear gauge,” as a way to measure how investors feel about financial and economic uncertainties.

☆ Brazil woos sceptical foreign investors with new fiscal plan
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Rebounding commodity prices and a hawkish, independent central bank made Brazil an emerging market investor darling last year. But stocks are in the red in dollar-terms (.MIBR00000PUS) in 2023 compared to small gains in wider emerging markets (.MSCIEF) and a more than 20% rise in Mexico's equities (.MIMX00000PUS). "It feels to me like there are a lot of things that can go wrong," said William Jackson, chief emerging markets economist with Capital Economics. Ronaldo Patah, chief investment officer Brazil at UBS Wealth Management, said that despite uncertainties, Lula's fiscal reform suggested he had shifted his focus to the future -- and away from unravelling previous reforms. "Foreign investors have goodwill for Brazil - they want to invest."

☆ Premarket stocks: How big of a problem is greedflation?
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-29 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

“Executives at SVB and Signature [Bank] took wild risks and must be held accountable for exploding their banks,” Warren said. Republican Senators say the Fed’s focus on climate change led to banking turmoilRepublican Senators repeatedly insinuated on Tuesday that the recent US banking turmoil came as a result of the Federal Reserve’s focus on climate change. In his opening statement, Republican Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina, the ranking member of the banking committee, called the Fed’s focus on climate change a waste of time. It’s what our supervisors do all the time.”In an interview with Montana Public Radio in 2014, Daines said that “the jury’s still out” on whether climate change is real. The public reasonably expects supervisors to require that banks understand, and appropriately manage, their material risks, including the financial risks of climate change.”

☆ The world's largest wealth manager is warning investors to avoid stocks for the rest of 2023. Here's its advice across asset classes.
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-28 | by ( Marley Jay | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

UBS, the world's largest asset manager, downgraded stocks and says they have little upside now. The firm says investors shouldn't sit on the sidelines, especially in the bond market. UBS advised investors on what to buy in stocks, bonds, currencies, and alternative assets. "The bond market is pricing for a recession to start as soon as the summer," Haefele wrote, while oil prices and credit spreads also reflect substantial recession risk. Speaking of stocks, Haefele doesn't like what he sees.

☆ US stocks close higher as markets assess fresh bank woes and recession fears
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-24 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks ended higher Friday, capping off a week of Fed moves and more bank fears. The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields both notched their lowest levels in six months. Deutsche Bank stock plunged as a new round of bank jitters hit the market in the wake of SVB and CS failures. All three major indexes ended the day higher, capping off another tumultuous week for markets. Yields on key Treasury bonds were down.

☆ UBS' dramatic takeover of Credit Suisse was the deal neither bank wanted. Here's some of the passive-aggressive digs from both sides.
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-20 | by ( Matt Turner | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

UBS acquired Credit Suisse in a rescue takeover over the weekend. But Credit Suisse didn't want to be rescued, and UBS didn't want to have to be the rescuer. For example, the first official word of the deal came from the Swiss National Bank, which announced: "UBS today announced the takeover of Credit Suisse." Next, Credit Suisse announced: "Credit Suisse and UBS to Merge." In 2019, after UBS announced Khan's hire, the chief operating officer at Credit Suisse ordered a colleague to spy on him.

☆ AI is set to boom into a $90 billion industry by 2025 as ChatGPT generates investment frenzy, UBS Wealth Management CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-28 | by ( Morgan Chittum | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

UBS predicted that the artificial intelligence hardware and services market will hit $90 billion by 2025. "We think the early success for chatbots could drive attract more technology talent, and drive faster adoption by enterprises and governments," UBS said. "We think the early success for chatbots could drive attract more technology talent, and drive faster adoption by enterprises and governments," Marcelli added. The market forecast predicates itself on AI being a "horizontal technology," meaning that it has important use cases across various industries. Investors are taking advantage of the frenzy, with a boost in share price for certain companies that integrate or use AI.

☆ Sweden is facing its ‘day of reckoning’ as house prices plummet
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-11 | by ( Hannah Ward-Glenton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

But now property prices are tumbling. Sweden's property prices are facing a serious drop as the country's former central bank governor warns of lofty household debt levels. Central bank rate hikesIn 2022, Sweden's central bank undertook an aggressive interest rate hiking cycle that ricocheted through the property market. So basically once the interest rate is stabilised, we don't expect prices to continue declining," Brodin said. Sweden isn't the only European country experiencing a plunging property market post-pandemic, with some economists forecasting a similar downturn of between 20% and 25% in Germany.

☆ Wealthy families are migrating to the U.S. South and UBS is following them
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-03 | by ( Lananh Nguyen | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

The new structure for the world's largest wealth manager signals a big push into the southern United States alongside competitors such as Merrill Lynch Wealth Management, which has boosted its presence in Florida. "We’ve seen our clients do well in the last decade in terms of their investment outcomes," said Jason Chandler, head of UBS wealth management in the United States. High net worth families are taking advantage of greater flexibility to live and work in different locations, he said. Ultra-high net worth families are moving from northern to southern states and are settling in multiple locations, and some financial advisers have followed suit by splitting their time across multiple offices, UBS said. The bank's top markets for wealth management include Atlanta, Colorado, Florida and Texas, alongside traditional hubs in the Northeast like New York and Boston.

☆ BiggerPockets’ housing-market guru says he sees home prices falling up to 10% over the next 12 months with housing affordability at four-decade-lows
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-26 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

With housing affordability deteriorating, home prices are due to fall, says Dave Meyer. The BiggerPockets housing market expert said he expects a decline of up to 10% in prices. "Houses are just not affordable at these prices with these interest rates," Meyer said. Either mortgage rates would have to skyrocket, he said, or housing prices would have to continue on their torrid pace upward. Morgan Stanley strategists said in late September that they expect home price growth to end 2023 at -3% year-over-over.

LONDON, Oct 24 (Reuters) - Investors welcomed Rishi Sunak as Britain's new prime minister on Monday, but they're likely to give him little leeway to diverge from spending restraint and tax rises after his predecessor shook their faith in the Conservative party's management of the economy. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterOutgoing Prime Minister Liz Truss's month and a half in power caused chaos in British financial markets. Yet Donovan said the mayhem of the last month means Sunak will have next to no room to make bold choices, lest he risk the market's wrath. And I don't think that the incoming prime minister has that." "The settling down of the situation in the UK means what is happening in politics is now more of an idiosyncratic thing just affecting UK markets, and in the UK too what global markets are doing will become more and more important."

☆ Pound holds ground as Rishi Sunak leads race to become UK prime minister
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-24 | by ( Julia Horowitz | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

London CNN Business —Britain’s third prime minister in seven weeks will face the huge challenge of projecting stability after a period of historic political and financial market chaos. Rishi Sunak emerged over the weekend as the clear front-runner in the dramatic race to replace Liz Truss, who’s set to be the shortest-serving prime minister in UK history. “A key focus for the next Prime Minister and their chosen Chancellor needs to be fiscal responsibility,” Carl Emmerson, deputy director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies, said in a statement. An economy in recessionThe Bank of England forecast last month that the UK economy was already in recession. 10 Downing Street, investors and economists expect the revamped economic plan outlined by current finance minister Jeremy Hunt to remain intact.

☆ Lurking behind Britain’s political mess is an economy on the edge
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-21 | by ( Julia Horowitz | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

London CNN Business —The spectacle surrounding Liz Truss, who on Thursday secured her fate as the shortest-serving prime minister in UK history, has quickly given way to a frenetic race to determine who will replace her. 10 Downing Street next will inherit an economic mess with no easy fixes. “A key focus for the next Prime Minister and their chosen Chancellor needs to be fiscal responsibility,” Carl Emmerson, deputy director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies, said in a statement on Friday. An economy in recessionEconomists agree that if the United Kingdom isn’t already in recession, one is likely to arrive soon. The cost of uncertaintyTruss has said the Conservative Party will install a new prime minister within a week.

☆ Should you trust this recent market rally? Here’s how Wall Street is advising their clients
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-20 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Wall Street analysts, however, have cautioned that there might be more downside before a bull market begins. That means there's likely to be more volatility before a sustained market rally. Hedge fund manager Dan Niles said the "bear market rally" in October will continue until Oct. 25, when mega-cap tech companies report third-quarter results. How to trust a market rally? The BofA report also said despite the bear market, stocks still are not "cheap enough."

☆ Analysis: The UK just stepped back from the brink. But there's more trouble ahead
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-18 | by ( Julia Horowitz | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

The sudden reversal of almost all tax cuts announced just three weeks ago could put financial markets on more stable footing. Yields on 30-year UK government bonds, which move opposite prices, have dipped to 4.34% after topping 5% last week. But concerns about the economy are resurfacing in lieu of angst about the country’s financial markets — though on that front, too, uncertainty remains. The specter of additional volatility in financial markets still lingers. And restoring investor confidence in UK assets will be an effort that takes time — especially as questions about Truss’ political future swirl.

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